Welcome. This site sheds light on 3 things:

  • A team’s odds of making the playoffs.
  • How today’s games impact those odds.
  • How well they need to finish the season to have a shot.

Saturday’s biggest movers

Up
TeamChance:ChangeBiggest Reason WhyLeague
Vancouver Whitecapsmake playoffs85.5%+34.6Portland 1 - 2 Los AngelesMLS
Coritiba Football ClubSerie B33.5-17.6Santa Cruz 0 - 1 CoritibaSerie A
Swope Park Rangers FCmake playoffs66.6+15.8Swope Park 3 - 0 Orange CountyUSL PRO
Hamilton Tiger Catsmake playoffs89.5+15.0Edmonton 31 - 37 HamiltonCFL
Saint Louis FCmake playoffs37.4+14.9St Louis 2 - 1 Col SpringsUSL PRO
Ceará Sporting ClubSérie A83.8+14.2Vila Nova 3 - 4 CearáSérie B
Indy Elevenwin title39.4+11.5Indy 1 - 0 EdmontonNASL
Tupi Football ClubSérie C77.5-11.4Tupi 1 - 0 Atlético-GOSérie B
Örebro SKeuropean cup38.7+11.0Falkenberg 1 - 3 ÖrebroAllsvenskan
IFK Norrköping FKwin title35.7+10.4Malmö 1 - 1 KalmarAllsvenskan
Down
Houston DynamoWooden Spoon45.4+30.8Vancouver 2 - 2 OrlandoMLS
San Antonio FCmake playoffs56.4-16.2San Antonio 2 - 3 Los AngelesUSL PRO
Edmonton Eskimosmake playoffs73.2-14.9Edmonton 31 - 37 HamiltonCFL
Santa Cruz Futebol ClubeSerie B42.9+14.3Santa Cruz 0 - 1 CoritibaSerie A
Atlético Clube GoianienseSérie A54.0-14.2Tupi 1 - 0 Atlético-GOSérie B
Orange County Bluesmake playoffs17.5-12.3Swope Park 3 - 0 Orange CountyUSL PRO
Malmö FFwin title52.1-11.2Malmö 1 - 1 KalmarAllsvenskan
Clube Atlético BragantinoSérie C55.3+10.8Vasco da Gama 2 - 1 BragantinoSérie B
FC Edmontonwin title9.6-8.5Indy 1 - 0 EdmontonNASL
Sporting Kansas Citymake playoffs40.3-8.4Colorado 1 - 0 Kansas CityMLS

Sunday’s biggest games

Total swing: Adds up the "chance in playoffs" swing (difference between best and worst case outcomes) this game has on all teams. (Or chance of winning the title for non-playoff leagues.)

GameTotal swingLeague
MilanvsPSG69International C
OrlandovsWilmington7:30 PM63USL PRO
Sporting KCvsSounders3:00 PM55MLS
St. GeorgevsWests Tigers4:00 PM54NRL
BethlehemvsRochester4:00 PM51USL PRO
HoustonvsVancouver50MLS
CanterburyvsSouthern49NZIHL
TorontovsDC United49MLS
Kansas CityvsSeattle49MLS
ColumbusvsOrlando48MLS